Wednesday, December 5, 2012

My Gut Predictions for the 2013 Academy Award Nominations

Okay, so now it's time to examine the year in film (at least, as far as the Academy Awards are concerned).  I see it as a three-pronged approach....

The first is the usual...these are the ones that are going to make it in to the top, if we were still dealing with an initial five:

ARGO

LES MISERABLES

LINCOLN

SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

 ZERO DARK THIRTY

Then we have the strong upcomers:

AMOUR

BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD  

THE MASTER

MOONRISE KINGDOM

LIFE OF PI

Then we have the final slight hopefuls...

ANNA KARININA

THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL 

DJANGO UNCHAINED 


THE PROMISED LAND

THE SESSIONS

In the end, it'll be:


Best Picture
ARGO
BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL 
DJANGO UNCHAINED
LES MISERABLES
LIFE OF PI
LINCOLN
THE MASTER
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
ZERO DARK THIRTY

Best Director:
Ben Affleck for ARGO
Kathryn Bigelow for ZERO DARK THIRTY
David O. Russell for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Quentin Tarantino for DJANGO UNCHAINED
Steven Spielberg for LINCOLN

Best Actor:
Bradley Cooper for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Daniel Day-Lewis for LINCOLN
John Hawkes for THE SESSIONS
Joachin Phoenix for THE MASTER
Denzel Washington for FLIGHT

Best Actress:
Jessica Chastain for ZERO DARK THIRTY
Marion Cotillard for RUST AND BONE
Jennifer Lawrence for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Quavenzene Wallis for BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
Naomi Watts for THE IMPOSSIBLE

Best Supporting Actor:
Robert De Niro for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Leonardo Di Caprio for DJANGO UNCHAINED
Philip Seymour Hoffman for THE MASTER
Tommy Lee Jones for LINCOLN
Matthew McConaughey for MAGIC MIKE

Best Supporting Actress:
Ann Dowd for COMPLIANCE
Anne Hathaway for LES MISERABLES
Sally Field for LINCOLN
Helen Hunt for THE SESSIONS
Maggie Smith for THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL

Best Original Screenplay:
Paul Thomas Anderson for THE MASTER
Mark Boal for ZERO DARK THIRTY
Michael Haneke for AMOUR
Rian Johnson for LOOPER
Quentin Tarantino for DJANGO UNCHAINED

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Tony Kuschner for LINCOLN
David Magee for LIFE OF PI
David O. Russell for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Chris Terio for ARGO
Benh Zeitlin and Lucy Alibar for BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD

For Best Cinematography:
Danny Cohen, LES MISERABLES
Roger Deakins, SKYFALL
Grieg Frasier, ZERO DARK THIRTY
Mihai Malaimmare Jr., THE MASTER
Claudio Miranda, LIFE OF PI

Best Production Design: 
ANNA KARININA
CLOUD ATLAS
LES MISERABLES
LINCOLN
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY

Best Costume Design:
ARGO
ANNA KARININA
CLOUD ATLAS
LES MISERABLES
LINCOLN

Best Original Score: 
Behn Zeitlin and Dan Rohmer, BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
Reinhold Heil and Johnny Klimek, CLOUD ATLAS
Mychael Danna, LIFE OF PI
John Williams, LINCOLN
Johnny Greenwood, THE MASTER

Best Original Song: 
"Suddenly" from LES MISERABLES
"Skyfall" from SKYFALL
"Still Alive" from PAUL WILLIAMS STILL ALIVE
"Song of the Lonely Mountain" from THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
"From Here to the Moon and Back" from JOYFUL NOISE

For Best Editing: 
ARGO
CLOUD ATLAS
LINCOLN
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
ZERO DARK THIRTY

For Best Sound (Mixing):
THE AVENGERS
THE DARK KNIGHT RISES
LES MISERABLES
LOOPER
ZERO DARK THIRTY

For Best Sound Effects (Editing)
THE AVENGERS
THE DARK KNIGHT RISES
LIFE OF PI
SKYFALL
ZERO DARK THIRTY

For Best Visual Effects: 
THE AVENGERS
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
JOHN CARTER
LIFE OF PI
PROMETHEUS

For Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
LES MISERABLES
LINCOLN

For Best Animated Feature: 
BRAVE
FRANKENWEENIE
PARANORMAN
THE RABBI'S CAT
WRECK-IT RALPH
 
Best Documentary Feature:
5 BROKEN CAMERAS
AI WEIWEI: NEVER SORRY
THE INVISIBLE WAR
HOW TO SURVIVE A PLAGUE
SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN

Have I missed anything?  Please tell me...

5 comments:

Mark Johnson said...

No love for Pi in your BP rankings?

Dean Treadway said...

Oops...how did I miss that? I don't think it's going to get man nominations, but it'll probably definitely get in there for Picture. Guess I have to get rid of BEST EXOTIC...

Martin Bradley said...

Dean, As ever we are very like-minded here. I'll just concentrate on the best film, directing and acting for the moment. We have picked the same 8 films, the same directors except I went for Lee and not Russell. For actor, I went for Jackman and Cooper, Cotillard and not Streep, Arkin and not McConaughey and Maggie Smith and not Hunt.

Dean Treadway said...

I think Lee is going to suffer because of the universally criticized wraparound sequences; I even thingk there's a strong possibility of the film not making it in to the top gathering. I am starting to think that even LES MISERABLES might not get the love we expected, because Todd McCarthy's review made it seem quite bland (though it seems impossible that it's not going to get a nomination. No chance that McConaughey doesn't get in; it's a brilliant and unforgettable star turn. I eliminated Maggie Smith in favor of Ann Dowd, who is campaigning hard and has the added bonus of REALLY being amongst the top ten best performances of the year (and she's a lead performer relegated to supporting status). I think the big question is about BEST EXOTIC. Watching it, it felt like a Best Pic nominee, but will it be remembered? At any rate, it'll be one of those that only gets two nominations, if it's rememberd at all.

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